What’s happening on a macro level, in key verticals and in light of the U.S. financial crisis?
In an ongoing down economy, we fully expect that search will suffer the least. It can be tracked with an end-to-end view of economic impact. In a continued down economy, it is likely we’ll see less clicks with purchase-intent overall, particularly for premium goods and services in the retail sector. However, that will be countered to some extent by interest in clicks tied to special offers and incentives, which often surface in a down economy. Of course, certain verticals will experience significant downturn and decreased spend as key players implode, such as with financial services.
Branding and display advertising appear to be softening amidst a slower economic climate, and we expect some of those budgets to be reallocated to search, especially among small and midsize businesses, many of which invested relatively little in display to begin with. To be sure, with vast inventory and softening prices, the quarter and year ahead will offer less expensive opportunities for brands to invest in display and branding.
While search is fundamentally stable and has a very strong reputation, we believe churn will be a trend to watch, especially amidst a continued downturn. In the SMB segment, some less sophisticated advertisers with less accountability and lower ROI might abandon or decrease search marketing. Moreover, there have been some concerns about over-selling and under-performing by a number of local, small-business lead-generation services. Search will prevail as a fundamental tactic to capture customers, but we may see some volatility here.
If a down economy persists, it will be interesting to see how search spending will be impacted by shifts in advertising among Fortune 1000 companies – a sector Google clearly has identified as critical to penetrate. The F1000 spend a vast majority of their advertising budgets on brand advertising, with a small percentage allocated to search. In down economies, large brands often decrease their overall ad budgets. It is unclear how that will bode for search.
What is the Google-Yahoo partnership all about?
The monetization of search is dependent on a critical mass of advertisers. Volume of advertisers drives volume of ads, which drives quality of ads (relevance) and increases the price of keywords. That has been one of Yahoo’s challenges, and among the rationale for its possible partnership with Google. As of this post, Yahoo and Google have agreed to delay their partnership to give the Justice Department more time to evaluate the deal.
If the partnership occurs, will the deal be good for advertisers? It depends, but there are key variables to consider. How will inventory be allocated to the different ad platforms? What will the nuances of each network be? How will the performance differ across the legacy Yahoo search versus Google network? How much transparency will there be? A key question will be how much inventory Yahoo will cede to Google. That could impact advertiser relationships and synergies with Yahoo’s display business.
What would a major deal like this mean for small and midsize advertisers? Can Clickable help? At this early stage of online advertising, change and volatility is inevitable in the marketplace, including developments with all advertising networks. This will present ongoing complexity for advertisers. However, overcoming complexity is Clickable’s core mission; we will continually invest in our solution to help marketers navigate and drive accountability and profitability through change. Clickable will always figure out what’s best for its customers, guaranteeing the optimization strategies that capture this dynamic market.
What’s the meaning of innovations like Chrome and Android?
Google’s Chrome initiative appears to be an attempt to influence the evolution and speed of innovation among all browser developers. There are clear performance and experience benefits, but an overall browser market that follows suit would create a better environment for Google’s advancement into Web applications, moving closer into Microsoft’s OS domain. The same goes for Android, with advancement into Apple’s mobile domain. It’s a little nudge to both Microsoft and Apple as all three jockey for position around the future of mobile and apps.
Mobile Advertising – will it materialize in 2009? International?
Mobile will not “explode” in 2009, though we will get much closer with developments around iPhone and Android, as well as Google’s efforts to require API partners to package new ad formats in third-party ad systems and dashboards. Significant mobile traction continues outside of the U.S.
What’s the significance of the Yahoo APT deal?
Yahoo APT reflects a broader trend toward automated, self-service ad systems, reducing the friction still associated with antiquated manual operations in place. Yahoo hopes to offer advertisers more control and ease-of-use over spending, while providing publishers more dynamic, effective inventory controls. Yahoo is looking to bring the efficiency of paid search advertising to the display side.
Changes in advertiser versus agency activity?
Agencies are being challenged on two fronts, especially in an economic downturn. First, many Fortune 1000 brands, with most ad dollars tied to branding, are likely to reduce overall budgets. Secondly, agencies are challenged with savvier advertisers continuing to ponder managing search in-house, or some aspects of it. Advertisers will be more sensitive to higher agency margins, and more cognizant of improving tools to more effectively manage their accounts, both internally and externally via agencies. Agencies are not going away by any means, but the core value and economics are changing.
What is comparative activity across networks?
We’ve seen no major comparative spending changes across the major search ad networks (i.e., share between Google, Yahoo and MSN), however we still see advertisers (especially small and midsize advertisers) willing to pay more on Yahoo versus Google because prime inventory is less competitive. Because of greater complexity associated with managing a second network, many agencies still often avoid Yahoo and consolidate spending with Google.
Posted by iteamweb
Posted by iteamweb
Posted by iteamweb